DETERMINAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA:  ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR UTAMA PENDORONG PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA

Uswatun Khasanah; Muhammad Safar Nasir; Yuli Ero Saputro

doi:10.31539/sdndqv51

Authors

Uswatun Khasanah Universitas Ahmad Dahlan
Muhammad Safar Nasir Universitas Ahmad Dahlan
Yuli Ero Saputro Universitas Ahmad Dahlan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31539/sdndqv51

Keywords:

Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, FDI, IPM, Gini Ratio, Tingkat Suku Bunga, Nilai Tukar, ARDL

Abstract

Ketika pertumbuhan ekonomi di suatu negara berhasil mencapai nilai positif menunjukkan bahwa negara tersebut telah berhasil meningkatkan tingkat pendapatan negara yang terlihat dari peningkatan nilai output suatu negara. Ketika pertumbuhan ekonomi di suatu negara tinggi, hal ini menunjukkan bahwa negara itu memiliki Sumber Daya Manusia (SDM) yang berkualitas. Pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia tiap tahunya bersifat fluktuatif dimana pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia setiap tahunnya tidak selalu stabil. Melihat hal tersebut maka kita perlu mengkaji lebih mengenai apa saja faktor apa aja yang bisa mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi sehingga mampu membuat pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia lebih stabil. Dengan menggunakan Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM), gini ratio, inflasi, tingkat suku bunga, dan nilai tukar sebagai variabel independen untuk melihat seberapa besar pengaruhnya pada pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia. Dengan menggunakan data dari tahun 1990 sampai 2023, metode Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) digunakan untuk melihat bukan hanya tingkat signifikansi variabel independen terhadap variabel dependen tetapi juga untuk melihat pengaruhnya di masa depan. Setelah dilakukan uji ARDL maka dedapatkan hasil bahwa variabel FDI, IPM, inflasi, tingkat suku bunga, dan nilai tukar memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia sementara itu gini ratio tidak begitu memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia.

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