Tingkat Terinfeksi Dan Kematian Harian Akibat Covid-19 Terhadap Return Saham Yang Dimoderasi Oleh Market Price To Earning Ratio (Studi Pada Perusahaan Yang Terdaftar Di Jakarta Islamic Index)
Abstract
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh tingkat dan pertumbuhan terinfeksi serta kematian harian akibat Covid-19 terhadap Return Saham perusahaan di Jakarta Islamic Index 70 (JII70), serta peran moderasi PER. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah kuantitatif dengan analisis data menggunakan MRA menggunakan STATA Versi 17. Sampel penelitian terdiri dari 28 emiten JII70. Berdasarkan hasil analisis data, penelitian ini menyimpulkan bahwa tingkat terinfeksi per hari tidak berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap Return Saham perusahaan di JII70, demikian juga dengan tingkat kematian per hari. Namun, pertumbuhan terinfeksi per hari berdampak negatif dan signifikan terhadap Return Saham, menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan kasus harian secara signifikan menyebabkan penurunan Return Saham perusahaan. Begitu juga, pertumbuhan kematian per hari memiliki dampak negatif dan signifikan terhadap Return Saham. Selain itu, PER memiliki pengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap Return Saham, menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan valuasi saham secara signifikan menyebabkan penurunan Return. Meskipun PER tidak memoderasi pengaruh tingkat terinfeksi dan tingkat kematian, namun mampu memoderasi pengaruh pertumbuhan terinfeksi dan pertumbuhan kematian terhadap Return Saham.
References
Alam, Md Mahmudul, Chowdhury Shahed Akbar, Shawon Muhammad Shahriar, and Mohammad Monzur Elahi. 2017. “The Islamic Shariah Principles for Investment in Stock Market.” Qualitative Research in Financial Markets 9(2): 132–46.
Andini Nurwulandari, Melati. 2020. “Effect of Covid-19 Pandemics on Asean Stock Exchange.” International Journal of Innovation 13(1).
Andrews, M A et al. 2020. “First Confirmed Case of COVID-19 Infection in India: A Case Report.” Indian Journal of Medical Research 151(5): 490–92.
Ashraf, Badar Nadeem. 2020. “Stock Markets’ Reaction to COVID-19: Cases or Fatalities?” Research in international business and finance 54: 101249.
———. 2022. “The Performance of Islamic versus Conventional Stocks during the COVID-19 Shock: Evidence from Firm-Level Data.” Research in International Business and Finance 60: 101622.
Asrini, Enggar Dwi. 2020. “Entrepreneurship Bisnis Manajemen Akuntansi Pengaruh Earning per Share Dan Price Earning Ratio Terhadap Return Saham Dengan Kebijakan Dividen Sebagai Variabel Intervening.” E-Bisma 1(2): 64–78.
Ayub, Gabriel, José Paulo Cabral de Vasconcelos, and Vital Paulino Costa. 2021. “The Impact of Covid-19 in the Follow-up of Glaucoma Patients in a Tertiary Center: A Comparison between Pre-Pandemic and Pandemic Periods.” Clinical Ophthalmology: 4381–87.
Baresa, Suzana, Sinisa Bogdan, and Zoran Ivanovic. 2013. “Strategy of Stock Valuation By Fundamental Analysis.” UTMS Journal of Economics 4(1): 45–51.
Brigham, Eugene F, and Joel F Houston. 2010. “Dasar-Dasar Manajemen Keuangan (Edisi 11).” Jakarta: Salemba Empat.
Brighams, Weston dan. 1993. Dasar-Dasar Manajemen Keuangan, Edisis Ke Tujuh, Jilid 1, Terjemahan Djoerban Wahid Dan Ruchayat Kokasih. Jakarta: Erlangga.
Burhanuddin, Andi Iqbal et al. 2020. Merajut Asa Di Tengah Pandemi Covid-19 (Pandangan Akademisi UNHAS). Deepublish.
Campbell, Steve et al. 2020. “Purposive Sampling: Complex or Simple? Research Case Examples.” Journal of research in Nursing 25(8): 652–61.
Chin, Wynne W. 1998. “The Partial Least Squares Approach to Structural Equation Modeling.” Modern methods for business research 295(2): 295–336.
Christiawan, Gusti. 2021. “Analisis Pengaruh Kasus Konfirmasi Positif Dan Kematian Akibat Covid-19 Terhadap Stock Market Return.” Skripsi Program Studi Manajemen Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Institut Informatika dan Bisnis Darmajaya Bandar Lampung.
Colan, Steven D. 2013. “The Why and How of Z Scores.” Journal of the American Society of Echocardiography 26(1): 38–40.
Connelly, B. L., S. T. Certo, R. D. Ireland, dan C. R. Reutzell. 2011. “Signaling Theory: A Review and Assessment.” Journal of management 37(1): 39-67.
Damara Utomo, Christian, and Dewi Hanggraeni. 2021. “The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Market Performance in Indonesia.” Journal of Asian Finance 8(5): 777–84.
Dharani, Munusamy, M Kabir Hassan, Makeen Huda, and Mohammad Zoynul Abedin. 2023. “Covid-19 Pandemic and Stock Returns in India.” Journal of Economics and Finance 47(1): 251–66.
Dharani, Munusamy, M Kabir Hassan, Mustafa Raza Rabbani, and Tahsin Huq. 2022. “Does the Covid-19 Pandemic Affect Faith-Based Investments? Evidence from Global Sectoral Indices.” Research in International Business and Finance 59: 101537.
Dickman, Amy J, Ewan A Macdonald, and David W Macdonald. 2011. “A Review of Financial Instruments to Pay for Predator Conservation and Encourage Human--Carnivore Coexistence.” Proceedings of the national academy of Sciences 108(34): 13937–44.
Digdowiseiso, Kumba. 2022. “The Government’s Policy Strategy on Mitigating Covid-19 Pandemic In Indonesia.” Journal of Governance 7(2): 510–18.
———. 2023. “What Drives the Stock Returns? Examining The Fundamental Factors on the Consumer Defensive Sector Companies.” Calitatea 24(194): 177–86.
Digdowiseiso, Kumba, Difa Juliandi, Djumadil Saputra, and others. 2024. “Implementation of Signaling Theory in Financial Management: A Bibliometric Analysis.” Revista de Gestão Social e Ambiental 18(3): e04963--e04963.
Effendi, Arif. 2018. “Study of Opportunities on Sharia-Based Securities Instruments to Enhance the Economic Development in Indonesia.” Cakrawala: Jurnal Studi Islam 13(2): 169–81.
F. Dormann, Carsten et al. 2007. “Methods to Account for Spatial Autocorrelation in the Analysis of Species Distributional Data: A Review.” Ecography 30(5): 609–28.
Farid, Harianto dan Siswanto, Sudono. 2001. Perangkat Dan Teknik Analisis Investasi Di Pasar Modal Indonesia. Jakarta: PT Bursa Efek Indonesia.
Ferniawan, Muh Ferial, and Andi Kusumawati. 2024. “The Influence of Earnings Per Share (EPS), Price Earnings Ratio (PER), Price to Book Value (PBV), And Debt Equity Ratio (DER) On The Stock Return.” Akrual: Jurnal Bisnis dan Akuntansi Kontemporer: 114–30.
Forstmeier, Wolfgang, and Holger Schielzeth. 2011. “Cryptic Multiple Hypotheses Testing in Linear Models: Overestimated Effect Sizes and the Winner’s Curse.” Behavioral ecology and sociobiology 65: 47–55.
Ganar, Yulian Bayu et al. 2020. “The Reaction of the Sharia Stock Market in the Early Days of the Covid-19 Pandemic in Indonesia.” Systematic Reviews in Pharmacy 11(11).
Gifani, Hanna. 2022. “Pengaruh Kasus Konfirmasi Dan Kasus Meninggal Akibat Covid-19 Terhadap Return Pasar Saham Indonesia (Studi Pada Saham-Saham Yang Terdaftar Indeks Lq45).” Tesis Program Studi Magister Manajemen Fakultas Ekonomika Dan Bisnis Universitas Diponegoro Semarang.
Gormsen, Niels Joachim, and Ralph S J Koijen. 2020. “Coronavirus: Impact on Stock Prices and Growth Expectations.” The Review of Asset Pricing Studies 10(4): 574–97.
Guven, Murat, Basak Cetinguc, Bulent Guloglu, and Fethi Calisir. 2022. “The Effects of Daily Growth in COVID-19 Deaths, Cases, and Governments’ Response Policies on Stock Markets of Emerging Economies.” Research in international business and finance 61: 101659.
Halim, Abdul. 2009. Analisis Kelayakan Investasi. Jakarta: Salemba Empat.
Hartmann, Frank G H, and Frank Moers. 1999. “Testing Contingency Hypotheses in Budgetary Research: An Evaluation of the Use of Moderated Regression Analysis.” Accounting, Organizations and Society 24(4): 291–315.
Herwany, Aldrin, Erie Febrian, Mokhamad Anwar, and Ardi Gunardi. 2021. “The Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Market Returns in Indonesia Stock Exchange.” The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business 8(3): 39–47.
Himmler, Sebastian, Job van Exel, Meg Perry-Duxbury, and Werner Brouwer. 2020. “Willingness to Pay for an Early Warning System for Infectious Diseases.” The European Journal of Health Economics 21(5): 763–73.
Houston, Brigham &. 2014. Essentials of Financial Management. Dasar-Dasar Manajemen Keuangan. Terjemahan Ali Akbar Yulianto. Buku 2. Edisi 11. Jakarta: Salemba Empat.
Huang, Xiao et al. 2020. “Twitter Reveals Human Mobility Dynamics during the COVID-19 Pandemic.” PloS one 15(11): e0241957.
Husnan. 2019. Manajemen Keuangan Edisi 3. Universitas Terbuka.
Indriyanto, Erwin et al. 2023. “The Quality of Company Audit in Indonesia during COVID-19 Pandemic: A Review of Literature.” Global Journal of Business, Economics \& Social Development 1(2): 108–15.
Jamaluddin, Natalya, Sarah Paulina. 2021. “Total Asset Turnover, Price Earning Ratio Dan PBV Terhadap Return Saham.” Jesya (Jurnal Ekonomi & Ekonomi Syariah) 4(2): 1182–95.
Katmas, Ekarina, and Nur Aisyah Indarningsih. 2022. “The Effect of BI Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, and Inflation on The Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI).” Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (IIJSE) 5(2): 768–82.
Kawalcovid19.id. 2024. “Https://Kawalcovid19.Id/.” Diakses pada 04 Maret, 2024.
Kent, Peter et al. 2020. “A Conceptual Framework for Prognostic Research.” BMC Medical Research Methodology 20: 1–13.
Khan, Mona et al. 2021. “Visualizing in Deceased COVID-19 Patients How SARS-CoV-2 Attacks the Respiratory and Olfactory Mucosae but Spares the Olfactory Bulb.” Cell 184(24): 5932–49.
Khatun, Nasrin. 2021. “Applications of Normality Test in Statistical Analysis.” Open Journal of Statistics 11(01): 113.
Koopmans, Tjalling C. 1947. “Measurement without Theory.” The Review of Economics and Statistics 29(3): 161–72.
Kristaung, R, and V Riorini. 2019. “Mediation-Moderation Modeling in Marketing Research Literature Review and Classification.” International Journal of Innovation, Creativity and Change. Www. Ijicc. Net 7(8).
Ledesma, Janet. 2014. “Conceptual Frameworks and Research Models on Resilience in Leadership.” Sage open 4(3): 2158244014545464.
Lee, Charles M C, Mark J Ready, and Paul J Seguin. 1994. “Volume, Volatility, and New York Stock Exchange Trading Halts.” The Journal of Finance 49(1): 183–214.
Mikrad, Mikrad, Agung Budi, and Hendra Galuh Febrianto. 2023. “Comparative Analysis of The Performance of The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) With the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) During The Covid-19 Pandemic.” International Journal of Management Science and Information Technology 3(1): 93–100.
Milenia, and Dewi Khornida Marheni. 2021. “The Effect of Covid-19 on Stock Market Return in Consumer Goods Sector in Indonesia.” JIMEA: Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen, Ekonomi, dan Akutansi 5(3): 1779–93.
Millenia, Hilwa Fitri. 2023. “Optimasi Peran Sukuk Di Indonesia: Peluang Perkembangan Pembangunan Ekonomi.” Al Qalam: Jurnal Ilmiah Keagamaan dan Kemasyarakatan 17(4): 2353–65.
Mirakhor, Abbas, and Noureddine Krichene. 2009. “The Recent Crisis: Lessons for Islamic Finance.”
Mishkin, Frederic S. 2001. “Financial Policies and the Prevention of Financial Crises in Emerging Market Countries.”
Morris, R.D. 1987. “Signalling, Agency Theory and Accounting Policy Choice.” Accounting and Business Research, 18(69), 47-56.
Muhammad, Hafidz Alkashfi. 2022. “Pengaruh Pandemi Virus Corona Terhadap Return Saham Perusahaan (Studi Kasus Pada Perusahaan Farmasi Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode Tahun 2020).” Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung.
Nguyen, Cuong Thanh, Phan Thanh Hai, and Huyen Khanh Nguyen. 2021. “Stock Market Returns and Liquidity during the COVID-19 Outbreak: Evidence from the Financial Services Sector in Vietnam.” Asian journal of Economics and Banking 5(3): 324–42.
Nurcahyono, Nurcahyono, Ayu Noviani Hanum, and Fatmasari Sukesti. 2021. “The COVID-19 Outbreak and Stock Market Return: Evidence from Indonesia.” Jurnal Dinamika Akuntansi Dan Bisnis 8(1): 47–58.
Nurwulandari, Andini, and M Oktavianta Nurlaya Djaya. 2022. “The Effect of Investor Sentiment Manager Behavior and Investment Opportunity Set (Ios) on Company Value with Dividend Policy As Intervening Variables.” Jurnal Ekonomi 11(01): 1–8.
Nurwulandari, Andini, and Maison Hamonangan. 2024. “The Effect of Investor Sentiment, Investment Decision, and Profitability on Stock Returns Through Firm Value.” Equivalent: Jurnal Ilmiah Sosial Teknik 6(1): 41–54.
Nurwulandari, Andini, Hasanudin Hasanudin, Bambang Subiyanto, and Yulia Catur Pratiwi. 2022. “Risk Based Bank Rating and Financial Performance of Indonesian Commercial Banks with GCG as Intervening Variable.” Cogent Economics and Finance 10(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2127486.
Nwude, E Chuke. 2012. “The Crash of the Nigerian Stock Market: What Went Wrong, the Consequences and the Panacea.” Developing Country Studies 2(9): 105–18.
Olivia, Susan, John Gibson, and Rus’ an Nasrudin. 2020. “Indonesia in the Time of Covid-19.” Bulletin of Indonesian economic studies 56(2): 143–74.
Oppusunggu, Lis Sintha, Lela Nurlaela Wati, and Heri Ispriyahadi. 2023. “The Covid-19 Pandemic’s Impact on Financial Performance and Market Performance in Nine Indonesian Business Sectors.” Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Studies 6(1): 385–94.
Osler, Carol L. 2005. “Stop-Loss Orders and Price Cascades in Currency Markets.” Journal of international Money and Finance 24(2): 219–41.
Permatasari, Desya, and Vidyarto Nugroho. 2023. “Analysis of the Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Return of Banking Company.” International Journal of Application on Economics and Business 1(1): 382–92.
Piepho, Hans-Peter. 2019. “A Coefficient of Determination (R2) for Generalized Linear Mixed Models.” Biometrical Journal 61(4): 860–72.
Pitaloka, Herninda, Ahmad Ulil Albab Al Umar, Eka Resmi Hartati, and Dessy Fitria. 2020. “The Economic Impact of the COVID-19 Outbreak: Evidence from Indonesia.” Jurnal Inovasi Ekonomi 5(02).
Poletiek, Fenna H, and Mariëtte Berndsen. 2000. “Hypothesis Testing as Risk Behaviour with Regard to Beliefs.” Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 13(1): 107–23.
Poole, Michael A, and Patrick N O’Farrell. 1971. “The Assumptions of the Linear Regression Model.” Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers: 145–58.
Pranyoto, Edi, Susanti Susanti, Faurani I Santi Singagerda, and Gusti Christiawan. 2022. “Covid-19 Dan Return Pasar: Bukti Empiris Di Bursa Efek Indonesia.” In Prosiding Seminar Nasional Darmajaya, , 100–109.
Pribble, Jennifer. 2011. “Worlds Apart: Social Policy Regimes in Latin America.” Studies in Comparative International Development 46: 191–216.
Rosopa, Patrick J, Meline M Schaffer, and Amber N Schroeder. 2013. “Managing Heteroscedasticity in General Linear Models.” Psychological methods 18(3): 335.
Ross, Stephen A. 1977. “The Determination of Financial Structure: The Incentive-Signalling Approach.” The Bell Journal of Economics, Vol. 8, No. 1 (Spring, 1977).
Senaviratna, NAMR, and T M J A Cooray. 2019. “Diagnosing Multicollinearity of Logistic Regression Model.” Asian Journal of Probability and Statistics 5(2): 1–9.
Shohiha, Aqida, Martini Dwi Pusparini, and Ulfi Sheila Pinasti. 2022. “Factors Influencing Muslim Investors to Invest in Sharia Stocks during the Covid-19 Pandemic.” Journal of Islamic Economics Lariba 8(2): 313–30.
Spence, M. 1973. “Job Market Signaling.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 87(3): 355.
Suhendah, Rousilita, and Andrew Yonanda. 2022. “Pengaruh Covid-19 Dan Volume Perdagangan Terhadap Return Saham.” Jurnal Akutansi 14(2): 218–30.
Szczygielski, Jan Jakub, Ailie Charteris, Princess Rutendo Bwanya, and Janusz Brzeszczyński. 2022. “The Impact and Role of COVID-19 Uncertainty: A Global Industry Analysis.” International Review of Financial Analysis 80: 101837.
Tadbiri, Hooman, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, and Mohsen Naghavi. 2020. “All-Cause Excess Mortality and COVID-19-Related Deaths in Iran.” Medical journal of the Islamic Republic of Iran 34: 80.
Tandelilin, Eduardus. 2017. Manajemen Portofolio Dan Investasi. PT Kanisius.
Tjiptono Darmadji, Hendy M. Fakhruddin. 2006. Pasar Modal Di Indonesia(Pendekatan Tanya Jawab). Jakarta: Salemba Empat.
Wardatunisa, Hilma. 2023. “Pengaruh Inflasi, Nilai Tukar (USD/IDR), Tingkat Suku Bunga, Jumlah Uang Beredar Dan Indek Dow Jones Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) Di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) Periode 2018-2022.” Fakultas Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Universitas Pakuan.
Windsor, W Luke. 2004. “Data Collection, Experimental Design, and Statistics in Musical Research.” Empirical musicology: Aims, methods, prospects: 197–222.
Www.idx.co.id. 2024. “Https://Www.Idx.Co.Id/Id/Idx-Syariah/Indeks-Saham-Syariah.” Diakses pada 04 Maret.
Www.who.int. 2024. “Https://Www.Who.Int/Data/Stories/the-True-Death-Toll-of-Covid-19-Estimating-Global-Excess-Mortality.” Diakses pada 04 Maret, 2024.
Yafez Rahmentio. 2022. “Dampak Kasus Covid-19 Terhadap Return Saham Dimoderasi Oleh Kinerja Perusahaan (Studi Pada Negara-Negara ASEAN).” Tesis Program Studi Magister Akuntansi Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Andalas.
Yulfiswandi, and Nopry. 2024. “The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables and COVID-19 on Stock Returns of Tourism Sector Companies in Indonesia.” International Journal of Economics Development Research 5(1): 2024–2208.
Zainuri, Zainuri, Sebastiana Viphindrartin, and Regina Niken Wilantari. 2021. “The Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Movement of Composite Stock Price Index in Indonesia.” The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business 8(3): 1113–19.
Zanke, Ashwini Arun, Raju R Thenge, and Vaibhav S Adhao. 2020. “COVID-19: A Pandemic Declare by World Health Organization.” IP International Journal of Comprehensive and Advanced Pharmacology 5(2): 49–57.
Copyright (c) 2024 M Omar Agung GS, Andini Nurwulandari
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.