Middle Income Trap Di Indonesia Dan Analisisnya

  • Rifki Khoirudin Universitas Ahmad Dahlan
  • Okta Rian Widyastuti Universitas Ahmad Dahlan

Abstract

Countries with developing status are starting to experience quite rapid economic growth, especially in the Asian region. It can be seen in Indonesia in 2000, experiencing an increase in income, but has not been able to change Indonesia's status. This study aims to analyze the determinants of per capita income, which is useful for removing Indonesia from developing country status. By analyzing the effect of Gross Fixed Capital Formation (PMTB), Agricultural Value Added, FDI and Inflation on capita which is the basis for grouping income of countries in the world. The variables used are per capita income, formation of gross fixed capital (PMTB), agricultural value added (NTP), (FDI), exports and inflation in 1980-2019. The results of the linear regression carried out show that the Variable Farmer Exchange Rate (NTP) is not significant to Per Capita Income, the PMTB ratio has a positive and significant effect on Per Capita Income, Foreight Direct Investment (FDI) is not significant to Per Capita Income, Exports have a positive effect and significant to Per Capita Income, Inflation has a negative and significant effect on per capita income.

Keywords: Linear Regression, Middle income trap, Per Capita Income.

References

Amri, K., & Aimon, H. (2016). Pengaruh Pembentukan Modal Dan Ekspor Terhadap Pertum-buhan Ekonomi Indonesia. Econ-omac Vol 1 No. 1, 1-16.
Aviliani, Siregar, H., & Hasanah, H. (2014). Addressing the Middle-Income Trap: Experience of Indo-nesia. Asian Social Science; Vol. 10, No. 7, 163-170.
Elecktawati, H., & Pasaribu, E. (2018). Eksistensi Dan Determinan Middle Income Trap Di Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi & Kebijakan Publik Vol. 9, No. 2,, 83-97.
Eva, E. (2014). Analisi Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia Periode Ta-hun 1980.1 - 2004.IV. Humaniora Vol. 7 No.2, 223-232.
Febriyanti, R. (2016). Pengaruh Jumlah Uang Beredar, Inflasi, dan Capital Stock terhadap Produk Domestik Bruto di Indonesia.
Felipe, J., Abdon, A., & Kumar, U. (2012). Tracking the Middle-income Trap: What Is It, Who Is in It, and Why? Working Paper No. 715.
Ghozali. (2018). Aplikasi Analisis Multi-variate.
Gujarati, D. N., & D.C, P. (2009). Basic Econometrics.
Irene, L. (2018). Pengaruh Inflasi, Ek-spor, Dan Tenaga Kerja Terhadap Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) (Studi pada Indonesia, Malaysia. Singapura dan Thailand Tahun 2007-2016).
Iskandar, A. (2014). Analisis Kualitas Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Tinjau dari Pendekatan
Middle Income Trap Provinsi Lampung. Manajemen dan Bisnis Vol. 4 No.2, 126-140.
Jhingan, M. (2003). Ekonomi Pem-bangunan dan Perencanaan . Ja-karta: PT. Raja GrafindoPersada.
Malalea, A. W., & Sutikno, M. A. (2014). Analisis Middle-Income Trap Di Indonesia. Jurnal BPP, Volume 7 Nomor 2, 91-110.
Ohno, K. (2009). Avoiding the Middle Income Trap:. ASEAN Economic Bulletin Vol. 26, No. 1, 25-43.
Pratiwi, N. M. (2015). Pengaruh Inflasi, Tingkat Suku Bunga SBI, dan Nilai Tukar
Terhadap Penanaman Modal Asing dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia Tahun 2014-2013. Administrasi Bisnis (JAB) Vol. 26 No. 2, 1-9.
Rahardja, P., & Manurung, M. (2008). Pengantar IImu Ekonomi: Mikroekonomi dan Mak-roekonomi. Jakarta: Lembaga Pen-erbit Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia.
Ratnasari, R. (2016). Analisis Pengaruh Penerimaan Pajak, Belanja Pem-bangunan/Modal, dan Tingkat Inflasi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Tahun 1979-2014.
Rini, A. N. (2015). Peluang Negara Berpendapatan Menengah Terjeb-ak Middle Income Trap tahun 2012.
Sarwedi. (2002). Investasi Asing Langsung di Indonesia dan Faktor yang Mempengaruhinya. Akuntansi & Keuagan Vol. 4, No. 1, 17-55.
Shekhar Aiyar, R.D. (2013). Growth Slowdowns and the Middle-Income Trap. International Mone-tary Fund, 3.
Shopia, A. (2018). Pengaruh Foreign Direct Investment, Ekspor, Dan Utang Luar Negeri Terhadap Per-tumbuhan Ekonomi Asean (Studi Pada Produk Domestik Bruto In-donesia, Malaysia, Dan Thailand Periode Tahun 2007 – 2016).
Sunny, O. I., & Osuagwu, N. (2016). Impact of Capital Formation on the Economic Development of Nige-ria. Fifth International Confer-ence on Global Business, Eco-nomics, Finance and.
Van, T. T. (2013). The Middle-Income Trap : Issues for Members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. ABDI Working Paper Se-ries No. 421. Tokyo: Asian Devel-opment Bank Institute
Published
2023-07-14
Abstract viewed = 155 times
pdf downloaded = 202 times